新型コロナの死亡率推移も作ってみました

死亡率推移

• 最近マスコミが、死者数が急激に増えたと騒いでいたので、例によって厚労省発表資料で死者数の状況を確認
• たしかに１２月に入り死者数は急増している
• ただ、陽性者数（累計）に対する死亡者数（累計）の割合を死亡率とみなしてグラフ化すると、死亡率は下がっているではないか
• ５－７月はＰＣＲ検査体制が確立されておらず検査数が少なかったから死亡率が高いが、10月以降は死亡率が１．５％水準で推移
• 陽性率はあがっていないし、死亡率も横ばいということなので、やはり年末年始は単に感染者を増やさないように日本国にお住いの皆様が気をつければ、おそらく落ち着くと思われる
• それにしても、マスコミ騒ぎすぎ

 参考までに、厚労省データと死亡率（計算後）

日付	死亡者数（累計）	陽性者数（累計）	死亡率
2020/2/14	1	28	3.57%
2020/2/15	1	40	2.50%
2020/2/16	1	46	2.17%
2020/2/17	1	53	1.89%
2020/2/18	1	60	1.67%
2020/2/19	1	70	1.43%
2020/2/20	1	79	1.27%
2020/2/21	1	90	1.11%
2020/2/22	1	117	0.85%
2020/2/23	1	129	0.78%
2020/2/24	1	141	0.71%
2020/2/25	1	149	0.67%
2020/2/26	1	171	0.58%
2020/2/27	3	195	1.54%
2020/2/28	4	215	1.86%
2020/2/29	5	224	2.23%
2020/3/1	5	239	2.09%
2020/3/2	6	253	2.37%
2020/3/3	6	269	2.23%
2020/3/4	6	302	1.99%
2020/3/5	6	333	1.80%
2020/3/6	6	392	1.53%
2020/3/7	6	439	1.37%
2020/3/8	6	472	1.27%
2020/3/9	7	498	1.41%
2020/3/10	9	552	1.63%
2020/3/11	12	604	1.99%
2020/3/12	15	659	2.28%
2020/3/13	19	699	2.72%
2020/3/14	21	761	2.76%
2020/3/15	22	794	2.77%
2020/3/16	24	809	2.97%
2020/3/17	28	853	3.28%
2020/3/18	29	892	3.25%
2020/3/19	31	928	3.34%
2020/3/20	33	981	3.36%
2020/3/21	35	1015	3.45%
2020/3/22	36	1057	3.41%
2020/3/23	41	1095	3.74%
2020/3/24	42	1160	3.62%
2020/3/25	43	1253	3.43%
2020/3/26	45	1349	3.34%
2020/3/27	46	1453	3.17%
2020/3/28	49	1647	2.98%
2020/3/29	52	1832	2.84%
2020/3/30	54	1906	2.83%
2020/3/31	56	2124	2.64%
2020/4/1	57	2348	2.43%
2020/4/2	60	2601	2.31%
2020/4/3	63	2938	2.14%
2020/4/4	69	3308	2.09%
2020/4/5	70	3694	1.89%
2020/4/6	73	3964	1.84%
2020/4/7	80	4341	1.84%
2020/4/8	81	4891	1.66%
2020/4/9	85	5463	1.56%
2020/4/10	88	6171	1.43%
2020/4/11	94	6847	1.37%
2020/4/12	98	7418	1.32%
2020/4/13	102	7751	1.32%
2020/4/14	109	8262	1.32%
2020/4/15	119	8773	1.36%
2020/4/16	136	9369	1.45%
2020/4/17	148	9944	1.49%
2020/4/18	154	10534	1.46%
2020/4/19	161	10906	1.48%
2020/4/20	171	11271	1.52%
2020/4/21	186	11645	1.60%
2020/4/22	277	12095	2.29%
2020/4/23	287	12540	2.29%
2020/4/24	317	12991	2.44%
2020/4/25	334	13365	2.50%
2020/4/26	348	13586	2.56%
2020/4/27	351	13775	2.55%
2020/4/28	376	14059	2.67%
2020/4/29	389	14286	2.72%
2020/4/30	415	14485	2.87%
2020/5/1	432	14751	2.93%
2020/5/2	458	15053	3.04%
2020/5/3	492	15257	3.22%
2020/5/4	510	15434	3.30%
2020/5/5	521	15554	3.35%
2020/5/6	543	15660	3.47%
2020/5/7	551	15756	3.50%
2020/5/8	600	15845	3.79%
2020/5/9	613	15953	3.84%
2020/5/10	621	16021	3.88%
2020/5/11	643	16071	4.00%
2020/5/12	668	16151	4.14%
2020/5/13	687	16205	4.24%
2020/5/14	710	16305	4.35%
2020/5/15	725	16357	4.43%
2020/5/16	744	16414	4.53%
2020/5/17	749	16444	4.55%
2020/5/18	763	16474	4.63%
2020/5/19	771	16505	4.67%
2020/5/20	777	16543	4.70%
2020/5/21	796	16586	4.80%
2020/5/22	808	16617	4.86%
2020/5/23	820	16646	4.93%
2020/5/24	830	16686	4.97%
2020/5/25	846	16706	5.06%
2020/5/26	858	16733	5.13%
2020/5/27	867	16770	5.17%
2020/5/28	874	16831	5.19%
2020/5/29	886	16895	5.24%
2020/5/30	891	16941	5.26%
2020/5/31	892	16973	5.26%
2020/6/1	894	17009	5.26%
2020/6/2	900	17060	5.28%
2020/6/3	903	17086	5.29%
2020/6/4	907	17131	5.29%
2020/6/5	914	17172	5.32%
2020/6/6	916	17217	5.32%
2020/6/7	916	17249	5.31%
2020/6/8	916	17271	5.30%
2020/6/9	919	17301	5.31%
2020/6/10	920	17337	5.31%
2020/6/11	922	17377	5.31%
2020/6/12	924	17434	5.30%
2020/6/13	925	17477	5.29%
2020/6/14	925	17539	5.27%
2020/6/15	927	17599	5.27%
2020/6/16	931	17641	5.28%
2020/6/17	935	17684	5.29%
2020/6/18	935	17752	5.27%
2020/6/19	952	17806	5.35%
2020/6/20	953	17871	5.33%
2020/6/21	953	17920	5.32%
2020/6/22	955	17960	5.32%
2020/6/23	963	18013	5.35%
2020/6/24	967	18102	5.34%
2020/6/25	968	18181	5.32%
2020/6/26	970	18280	5.31%
2020/6/27	970	18368	5.28%
2020/6/28	971	18479	5.25%
2020/6/29	971	18589	5.22%
2020/6/30	973	18721	5.20%
2020/7/1	974	18846	5.17%
2020/7/2	975	19040	5.12%
2020/7/3	976	19289	5.06%
2020/7/4	976	19557	4.99%
2020/7/5	976	19752	4.94%
2020/7/6	977	19924	4.90%
2020/7/7	979	20132	4.86%
2020/7/8	980	20335	4.82%
2020/7/9	981	20687	4.74%
2020/7/10	981	21107	4.65%
2020/7/11	981	21480	4.57%
2020/7/12	981	21871	4.49%
2020/7/13	981	22119	4.44%
2020/7/14	983	22446	4.38%
2020/7/15	984	22886	4.30%
2020/7/16	984	23505	4.19%
2020/7/17	984	24093	4.08%
2020/7/18	984	24748	3.98%
2020/7/19	984	25249	3.90%
2020/7/20	987	25656	3.85%
2020/7/21	988	26274	3.76%
2020/7/22	989	27066	3.65%
2020/7/23	991	28032	3.54%
2020/7/24	992	28798	3.44%
2020/7/25	995	29596	3.36%
2020/7/26	995	30426	3.27%
2020/7/27	997	31007	3.22%
2020/7/28	1000	31975	3.13%
2020/7/29	1003	33217	3.02%
2020/7/30	1005	34514	2.91%
2020/7/31	1010	36088	2.80%
2020/8/1	1010	37623	2.68%
2020/8/2	1011	38947	2.60%
2020/8/3	1015	39884	2.54%
2020/8/4	1021	41118	2.48%
2020/8/5	1025	42468	2.41%
2020/8/6	1032	43947	2.35%
2020/8/7	1038	45542	2.28%
2020/8/8	1039	47065	2.21%
2020/8/9	1046	48551	2.15%
2020/8/10	1051	49387	2.13%
2020/8/11	1058	50080	2.11%
2020/8/12	1062	51049	2.08%
2020/8/13	1072	52225	2.05%
2020/8/14	1084	53581	2.02%
2020/8/15	1087	54815	1.98%
2020/8/16	1098	55832	1.97%
2020/8/17	1114	56462	1.97%
2020/8/18	1127	57366	1.96%
2020/8/19	1143	58446	1.96%
2020/8/20	1154	59628	1.94%
2020/8/21	1168	60664	1.93%
2020/8/22	1175	61649	1.91%
2020/8/23	1180	62388	1.89%
2020/8/24	1195	62879	1.90%
2020/8/25	1208	63591	1.90%
2020/8/26	1225	64484	1.90%
2020/8/27	1237	65351	1.89%
2020/8/28	1254	66221	1.89%
2020/8/29	1263	67065	1.88%
2020/8/30	1278	67663	1.89%
2020/8/31	1295	68088	1.90%
2020/9/1	1306	68712	1.90%
2020/9/2	1318	69301	1.90%
2020/9/3	1329	69957	1.90%
2020/9/4	1348	70540	1.91%
2020/9/5	1356	71138	1.91%
2020/9/6	1362	71585	1.90%
2020/9/7	1376	71873	1.91%
2020/9/8	1392	72387	1.92%
2020/9/9	1405	72894	1.93%
2020/9/10	1411	73603	1.92%
2020/9/11	1422	74242	1.92%
2020/9/12	1438	74883	1.92%
2020/9/13	1441	75322	1.91%
2020/9/14	1450	75587	1.92%
2020/9/15	1460	76118	1.92%
2020/9/16	1472	76661	1.92%
2020/9/17	1481	77141	1.92%
2020/9/18	1494	77710	1.92%
2020/9/19	1499	78307	1.91%
2020/9/20	1499	78776	1.90%
2020/9/21	1507	79083	1.91%
2020/9/22	1511	79405	1.90%
2020/9/23	1519	79621	1.91%
2020/9/24	1531	80098	1.91%
2020/9/25	1539	80668	1.91%
2020/9/26	1544	81306	1.90%
2020/9/27	1547	81784	1.89%
2020/9/28	1556	82078	1.90%
2020/9/29	1563	82609	1.89%
2020/9/30	1570	83179	1.89%
2020/10/1	1577	83802	1.88%
2020/10/2	1589	84339	1.88%
2020/10/3	1596	84903	1.88%
2020/10/4	1598	85298	1.87%
2020/10/5	1601	85569	1.87%
2020/10/6	1604	86066	1.86%
2020/10/7	1612	86571	1.86%
2020/10/8	1615	87193	1.85%
2020/10/9	1623	87787	1.85%
2020/10/10	1626	88456	1.84%
2020/10/11	1628	88888	1.83%
2020/10/12	1633	89161	1.83%
2020/10/13	1637	89655	1.83%
2020/10/14	1645	90204	1.82%
2020/10/15	1649	90907	1.81%
2020/10/16	1660	91542	1.81%
2020/10/17	1669	92121	1.81%
2020/10/18	1673	92578	1.81%
2020/10/19	1675	92893	1.80%
2020/10/20	1678	93370	1.80%
2020/10/21	1684	93986	1.79%
2020/10/22	1693	94596	1.79%
2020/10/23	1705	95341	1.79%
2020/10/24	1710	96059	1.78%
2020/10/25	1717	96547	1.78%
2020/10/26	1724	96948	1.78%
2020/10/27	1729	97597	1.77%
2020/10/28	1732	98321	1.76%
2020/10/29	1743	99125	1.76%
2020/10/30	1754	99894	1.76%
2020/10/31	1765	100762	1.75%
2020/11/1	1773	101368	1.75%
2020/11/2	1779	101850	1.75%
2020/11/3	1785	102718	1.74%
2020/11/4	1793	103325	1.74%
2020/11/5	1805	104374	1.73%
2020/11/6	1808	105511	1.71%
2020/11/7	1811	106813	1.70%
2020/11/8	1817	107751	1.69%
2020/11/9	1828	108523	1.68%
2020/11/10	1840	109801	1.68%
2020/11/11	1850	111336	1.66%
2020/11/12	1866	112959	1.65%
2020/11/13	1879	114663	1.64%
2020/11/14	1882	116386	1.62%
2020/11/15	1884	117809	1.60%
2020/11/16	1902	118757	1.60%
2020/11/17	1912	120443	1.59%
2020/11/18	1921	122622	1.57%
2020/11/19	1942	125005	1.55%
2020/11/20	1962	127423	1.54%
2020/11/21	1973	129931	1.52%
2020/11/22	1980	132081	1.50%
2020/11/23	1988	133594	1.49%
2020/11/24	2000	134811	1.48%
2020/11/25	2021	136741	1.48%
2020/11/26	2050	139240	1.47%
2020/11/27	2073	141750	1.46%
2020/11/28	2105	144424	1.46%
2020/11/29	2118	146465	1.45%
2020/11/30	2138	147894	1.45%
2020/12/1	2171	149913	1.45%
2020/12/2	2212	152332	1.45%
2020/12/3	2239	154839	1.45%
2020/12/4	2282	157264	1.45%
2020/12/5	2314	159761	1.45%
2020/12/6	2334	161760	1.44%
2020/12/7	2381	163262	1.46%
2020/12/8	2419	165410	1.46%
2020/12/9	2464	168212	1.46%
2020/12/10	2501	171160	1.46%
2020/12/11	2533	173941	1.46%
2020/12/12	2561	176953	1.45%
2020/12/13	2584	179326	1.44%
2020/12/14	2642	180988	1.46%
2020/12/15	2687	183390	1.47%
2020/12/16	2738	186377	1.47%
2020/12/17	2782	189585	1.47%
2020/12/18	2827	192418	1.47%
2020/12/19	2872	195390	1.47%
2020/12/20	2899	197781	1.47%
2020/12/21	2943	199557	1.47%

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